STRATEGIC FORESIGHT FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Arnoldo de Hoyos Guevara, Ibon Zugasti Garostidi, Rosa Alegria

Resumo


Avançando estrategicamente em direção à Agenda 2030 para o Desenvolvimento Sustentável, a ONU organizou uma Rede de Soluções de Desenvolvimento Sustentável (UNSDSN) e uma Plataforma (HLPF) para aproveitar a chamada Revolução de Dados que poderia ajudar a alcançar sistemicamente os 17 Objetivos, alcançando globalmente os alvos correspondentes. Para este propósito, há uma necessidade de continuar unindo esforços e know-how para desenvolver uma estrutura apropriada e roteiro. Este artigo pode representar uma contribuição baseada na longa experiência do Projeto do Milênio (PM), que trata dos 15 Desafios Globais de alguma forma relacionados. De fato, similarmente ao SDG Index, o MP desenvolveu um Índice do Estado do Futuro (SOFI) que está sendo monitorado há algum tempo; e neste artigo, como exemplo, mostraremos o caso do SDG13, que trata da questão crítica da Ação Climática, como o PM está trabalhando com seu Desafio Global 1, que trata do Desenvolvimento Sustentável e da Mudança Climática.


Palavras-chave


Desenvolvimento Sustentável; Prospectiva Estratégica; Projeto do Milênio.

Texto completo:

PDF (English)

Referências


Alegria, R. (2019). Teach The Future. Brazil. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:

http://www.teachthefuture.eu/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/FUTURES-DAY-CARDS_PO.pdf

e https://futuroexponencial.com/author/rosa-alegria/

_______ (2015). Prospectiva Estratégica e Visão de Futuro, NEF/PUC-SP. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:

https://www.pucsp.br/sites/default/files/download/prospectiva_estrategica_e_visao_de_futuro_-rosa_alegria.pdf

Barakat, S, Endalew, E. J. (2019). LDCs, negotiations and the climate crisis: Will the poorest countries benefit from the COP24 climate package? IIED. Visto em 02jun19. Disponível em: https://pubs.iied.org/10200IIED/

Barket, K. (2017). Lessons from Latin America on implementing the 2030 Agenda: learning from a regional retretat. Independent Research Forum IRF. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.sei.org/publications/lessons-latin-america-implementing-2030-agenda/,

https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/scoping-paper-rimisp-sei-irf-eng.pdf,

https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/sei-pb-2017-la-sdg-retreat.pdf

Chestney, N. (2019). CORRECTED-UPDATE 2-EU carbon price hits over 10-year high on BREXIT extension hopes Reuters. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:

https://uk.reuters.com/article/eu-carbon-prices/update-2-eu-carbon-price-hits-over-10-year-high-on-brexit-extension-hopes-idUKL8N21S30X

ESS-DIVE Environmental Systems Science Data Infrastructure for a Virtual Ecosystem.: Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://ess-dive.lbl.gov/

ETC Mission Possible: Reaching net-zero carbon emissions from harder-to-abate sectors by mid-century. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable inhttp://www.energy-transitions.org/sites/default/files/Global_PressRelease-MissionPossible.pdf

Global Footprint Network. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:https://www.footprintnetwork.org/

Guterres, A. (2019). Critical moment for Sustainable Development. UN Forum on Financial and Development. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://news.un.org/en/story/2019/04/1036681

_______ (2018). Climate change is still moving much faster than we are. UN Headquarters on Climate Change. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://news.un.org/en/story/2018/03/1006271

Haryama, Y. (2017). Society 5.0: Aiming for a New Human-centered Society. Hitachi. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:: https://www.hitachi.com/rev/archive/2017/r2017_06/trends/index.html

Heath, N. (2019). How Estonia became an E-Government Powerhouse, TechRepublic. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.techrepublic.com/article/how-estonia-became-an-e-government-powerhouse/

HLPF UN High-Level Political Forum on Sustainable Development. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/hlpf/20191

Keidaren (2016). Toward realization of the new economy and societ. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: http://www.keidanren.or.jp/en/policy/2016/029_outline.pdf

Matsuo, S. (2018). The educational philosophy of a Nobel Prize factory. President of Nagoya University interview. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.globaljapan.world/leader/nagoya-university/seiichi-matsuo/

Miller, R. (2018). Transforming The Future. Anticipation in the 21st Century, Taylor Francis. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/e/9781351048002

MP GFIS Global Futures Intelligence System. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:http://www.millennium-project.org/projects/global-futures-intelligence-system/

_______. State of The Future. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:http://www.millennium-project.org/publications-2-3/

_______. 15 Global Challenges.: Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: http://www.millennium-project.org/projects/challenges/

_______. FRM Futures Research Methodology Version 3.0.: Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: http://107.22.164.43/millennium/FRM-V3.html

Morin, E. (2011). La Voie : Pour l'avenir de l'humanité, Fayard, 2011

Nakanishi, H. (2018). How Japanese businesses are preparing for a super smart society ( Society 5.0). Global Japan. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:

https://www.globaljapan.world/article/how-japanese-businesses-are-preparing-for-a-super-smart-society/

Noaa Earth System Research Laboratory. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/

Sachs, J. et al. (2018). SDG Index and Dashboards Report. New York: Bertelsmann Stiftung and Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN).: Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://dashboards.sdgindex.org/#/

Stoknes, P. E. (2015). What we think when we try not to think on Global warming. Chelsea Green Publ.

THUMBERG, G. (2018). The disarming case to act right now on climate change TED Talk. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.ted.com/speakers/greta_thunberg

UN Climate Change Take Climate Action. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/take-action.shtml

UN E-Goverment Survey (2018). Gearing E-Government to support transformation towards Sustainable and Resilient Societies. MILLER, R. TRANSFORMING THE FUTURE. Anticipation in the 21st Century, Taylor Francis. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/e/9781351048002, https://publicadministration.un.org/egovkb/Portals/egovkb/Documents/un/2018-Survey/E-Government%20Survey%202018_FINAL%20for%20web.pdf

UNSDN Indicators and Monitoring Framework for SDGs/Launching a Data Revolution, (2015). Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:http://unsdsn.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/FINAL-SDSN-Indicator-Report-WEB.pdf, https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/Global%20Indicator%20Framework%20after%20refinement_Eng.pdf

WEF (2019). The Global Risks Report. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:https://www.weforum.org/reports/the-global-risks-report-2019

Weitz, N. et al. (2017). Towards systemic and contextual priority setting for implementing the 2030 Agenda. Sustainability Science, 2017. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in:

https://www.sei.org/publications/systemic-contextual-priority-setting-2030-agenda/

_______(2019). Disentangling interactions between the SDGs, SEI. Access: June 2 2019. Avaliable in: https://www.sei.org/projects-and-tools/projects/disentangling-interactions-sustainable-development-goals/




DOI: https://doi.org/10.5585/geas.v8i3.15776

Apontamentos

  • Não há apontamentos.


Direitos autorais 2019 Revista de Gestão Ambiental e Sustentabilidade

Licença Creative Commons
Esta obra está licenciada sob uma licença Creative Commons Atribuição - Não comercial - Compartilhar igual 4.0 Internacional.

Rev. Gest. Ambient. Sustentabilidade, São Paulo, SP, Brasil. e-ISSN: 2316-9834

Rua Vergueiro, 235/249 - Liberdade, São Paulo - SP (Brasil), Cep: 01504-000

Licença Creative Commons
Este obra está licenciado com uma Licença 
Creative Commons Atribuição-NãoComercial-CompartilhaIgual 4.0 Internacional