Simulation of Scenarios: Case Study in the Funding Sources of the Foundation of Support for Education, Research and Scientific and Technological Development of the Federal Technological University of Paraná – Campus Pato Branco

Authors

  • Osni Hoss Universidade Tecnológica Federal - UTFPR
  • Vanderlei Bromberger Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná - UTFPR.
  • Claudio Antonio Rojo Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina – UFSC
  • Almir Ferreira de Sousa Universidade de São Paulo - FEA/USP.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5585/ijsm.v11i3.1895

Keywords:

Strategic Planning, Simulation of Scenarios, Critical Variables.

Abstract

Running a business in the current context is a complex task. Changes and market requirements are becoming more dynamic. Given this reality it is necessary to simulate possible scenarios. Studies of scenario simulation have emerged to enable organizations a guidance on this new reality. Using a methodology based on critical variables, the simulation of scenarios extends the capability of organizations visualize their future strategic actions in order to achieve their goals. Through the theoretical framework, this study aimed to study this methodology, gathering information and presenting the main concepts related to the subject to, in the case study, apply them in the fund sources of FUNTEF-PR, Campus Pato Branco. The study found that a scenario rarely happens exactly as it was simulated, but it reduces the future organizational uncertainties. It is shown as a tool able to assist the organization in defining its strategy, at the same time,allowing a more flexible and appropriate position to deal with the uncertainty and the new, making the future less doubtful.

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Author Biographies

Osni Hoss, Universidade Tecnológica Federal - UTFPR

Pós-Doutor em Finanças/Administração pela FEA/USP. Doutor em Engenharia de Produção pela UFSC. Em instituição de ensino superior tem experiência como pesquisador, professor, coordenador de graduação e pós-graduação, é professor na graduação e pós-graduação da UTFPR. Criador e editor chefe da revista científica CAP Accounting and Management. Tem experiência em avaliação de ativos intangíveis, controller, gestão de custos. Sócio Fundador da Intelitech, empresa inovadora em TI, idealizador do software de apoio à decisão DRHS – Doctor Hoss Software.

Vanderlei Bromberger, Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná - UTFPR.

Atuante na Fundação de Apoio da Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná - UTFPR.

Claudio Antonio Rojo, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina – UFSC

Doutor em Engenharia de Produção pela Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina – UFSC Professor da Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná – UNIOESTE

Almir Ferreira de Sousa, Universidade de São Paulo - FEA/USP.

Doutor em Administração pela Universidade de São Paulo - USP; Mestre em Administração pela Universidade de São Paulo - USP; Professor associado da Universidade de São Paulo, parecerista da Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo, do Instituto de Medicina Social e de Criminologia de São Paulo. Atua em Finanças Corporativas (mais especificamente em Avaliação de Empresas, Avaliação de Investimentos, Planejamento e Controle Finaceiro e Gestão do Capital) e em Educação Financeira Pessoal.

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Published

01.12.2012

How to Cite

Hoss, O., Bromberger, V., Rojo, C. A., & de Sousa, A. F. (2012). Simulation of Scenarios: Case Study in the Funding Sources of the Foundation of Support for Education, Research and Scientific and Technological Development of the Federal Technological University of Paraná – Campus Pato Branco. Revista Ibero-Americana De Estratégia, 11(3), 172–204. https://doi.org/10.5585/ijsm.v11i3.1895

Issue

Vol. 11 No. 3 (2012): Sept./Dec.

Section

Articles

License

Copyright (c) 2012 Iberoamerican Journal of Strategic Management

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